Future Babble
Why Expert Predictions Are Next to Worthless, and You Can Do Better
By Dan Gardner




(1)
Like Future Babble?
Join aNobii to see if your friends read it, and discover similar books!
Book Description
An award-winning journalist uses landmark research to debunk the whole expertprediction industry, and explores the psychology of our obsession with ...
Critics
-
nytimes published on Sun, 27 Mar 2011
-
What’s in all those predictions? Turns out, nothing much.
It’s hard to turn on a TV without seeing a bold prediction. Gold will go up. Oil will go down. China will launch a trade war against the United States. Each prediction is more confident than the last. There’s a dirty secret behind these prognosticati ... (read full critics)
boston published on Wed, 23 Mar 2011
1 Review
-




An attempt to a response of why we keep believing in fortunetellers.
In the old times, the fortuneteller killed a chicken and told us our future based on the location of its organs. In current times, they open another animal: a database, a report, a trending line, etc, and tell us our future based on the location of the symbols. The problem is not that both fortunete ... (continue)
ariadna73 said on May 3, 2011 | Add your feedback
Book Details
-
Rating:




(1)
- English Books
- Others 320 Pages
- ISBN-10: 0525952055
- ISBN-13: 9780525952053
- Publisher: E P Dutton
- Pub date: Mar 17, 2011
Prices Change currency & sellers
| ISBN | Edition | List | Sale | Seller |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9780525952053 | Others | $26.95 | $19.40 | bn.com |
| -- | $12.99 | ebooks.com | ||
| $26.95 | $17.49 | The Book Depository | ||
| Other editions → | ||||
Why Experts Get the Future Wrong
What does the future hold? To answer that question, human beings have looked to stars and to dreams; to cards, dice and the Delphic oracle; to animal entrails, Alan Greenspan, mathematical models, the palms of our hands. As the number and variety of ... (read full critics)