“Conventional analysis suffers from a profound failure of imagination. It imagines passing clouds to be permanent and is blind to powerful, long-term shifts taking place in full view of the world.” —George Friedman
In his long-awaited and ...
waited and provocative new book, George Friedman turns his eye on the future—offering a lucid, highly readable forecast of the changes we can expect around the world during the twenty-first century. He explains where and why future wars will erupt (and how they will be fought), which nations will gain and lose economic and political power, and how new technologies and cultural trends will alter the way we live in the new century.
The Next 100 Years draws on a fascinating exploration of history and geopolitical patterns dating back hundreds of years. Friedman shows that we are now, for the first time in half a millennium, at the dawn of a new era—with changes in store, including:
• The U.S.-Jihadist war will conclude—replaced by a second full-blown cold war with Russia.
• China will undergo a major extended internal crisis, and Mexico will emerge as an important world power.
• A new global war will unfold toward the middle of the century between the United States and an unexpected coalition from Eastern Europe, Eurasia, and the Far East; but armies will be much smaller and wars will be less deadly.
• Technology will focus on space—both for major military uses and for a dramatic new energy resource that will have radical environmental implications.
• The United States will experience a Golden Age in the second half of the century.
Written with the keen insight and thoughtful analysis that has made George Friedman a renowned expert in geopolitics and forecasting, The Next 100 Years presents a fascinating picture of what lies ahead.
For continual, updated analysis and supplemental material, go to www.Stratfor.com
A clear and vivid picture of how the future perspective is in detail probably largely unpredictable (it might seem a contradictions in terms, but I think is not), despite the fact that major trends and outcome can be forseen, and those in this book
..." are surprising...Continua...Nascondi
Check out what I wrote in my blog: http://lunairereadings.blogspot.com/2011/09/next-100-years-george-friedman.html
I loved the optimism of this book. It describes with objetivity why the 21st century is and will be the USA century for its entire
..."its entire length. That is not to say that US is the best or that its citizens are saints, but its arguments are really convincing. It makes me happy and less stressed to know that at least part of the humanity is safe in a very strong land. It also describes the next war (about 2050) and how it will unfold in space killing about 50000 soldiers (as opposed to millions killed in the 20th century wars. I liked it and loved the fact that neither the author not I are going to know if in the end his predictions were true.Continua...Nascondi
I thought this is a forecast for what may happen in the next 100 years, but instead, I got a very good lesson in history. Unfortunately, history is bound to repeat itself, like every 50 or 100 years! How soon we forget?