The Signal and the Noise

Why So Many Predictions Fail-But Some Don't

by | Publisher: Penguin Press
Average vote of 189
| 4 total contributions of which 4 reviews , 0 quotes , 0 images , 0 notes , 0 video
ISBN 9781101595954 1. Forecasting. 2. Forecasting—Methodology. 3. Forecasting—History. 4. Bayesian statistical decision theory. 5. Knowledge, Theory of. I. Title. CB158.S54 2012 519.5'42—dc23 2012027308 While the author has made ...
Wrote 12/15/19


Wrote 8/7/14
Great book about predictions that try to provide subjects and objects for thinking to avoid our fallacies. Very insightful, it start to describe the parallels of the reality and the check of facts in a way that tackle the least economic crisis throug...Continua
Wrote 8/1/13
It is an interesting book. But the elaboration is too deep dive. Sometimes the focus is lost. Takeaways: - we are eager so to spot pattern that we are fooled by randomness - sometimes predictions are biased to the safe side ( weather report of rain...Continua
Silver, Nate (2012). The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don’t. New York: The Penguin Press. 2012. ISBN 9781101595954. Pagine 545. 15,67 € Un libro molto bello, anche se tutt’altro che perfetto. Un libro pieno di eccessi,...Continua

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